0x933a1d6e298b4855C6e3Be6418F41eb9f02B2B1f-1768223157745
0x933a1d6e298b4855c6e3be6418f41eb9f02b2b1f
- Realised P&L
- $-476.71
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $27.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 8? · No | 0.990 | 0.999 | $13.53 | +$0.12 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? · No | 0.950 | 0.922 | $6.92 | −$0.21 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 10? · No | 0.997 | 0.987 | $6.74 | −$0.07 |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.50 |
| Wild vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$595.00 |
| Wild vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$450.00 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of June 29 2026? · No | 0.911 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$297.50at 0.500Wild vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5
- +$247.00at 0.500Wild vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5
- +$17.39at 0.500Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5
- +$9.70at 0.954Huddle FDV above $400M one day after launch?
- +$6.19at 0.940Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 12:23 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.997 | $6.81 |
| 10-07 08:13 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.99 | $13.40 |
| 09-29 12:47 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.994 | $5.46 |
| 08-31 15:33 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or below on September 1? | BUY | 0.992 | $7.34 |
| 07-13 02:52 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 14? | BUY | 0.965 | $6.76 |
| 07-06 08:53 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $780 Week of July 6 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $7.54 |
| 07-01 01:24 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of June 29 2026? | BUY | 0.911 | $4.83 |
| 06-24 02:06 | Spread: Canada (-3.5) | BUY | 0.991 | $11.89 |
| 06-20 02:02 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on June 22? | BUY | 0.97 | $13.22 |
| 06-01 02:13 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on June 1? | BUY | 0.98018 | $9.80 |
| 05-29 01:04 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on May 29? | BUY | 0.96 | $7.60 |
| 05-26 12:45 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 26? | BUY | 0.979 | $19.58 |
| 05-16 03:01 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? | BUY | 0.95 | $7.13 |
| 05-08 00:49 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on May 8? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.09 |
| 04-21 13:07 | Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.73 | $7.54 |