bbbb323
0x9338dab40e142ef95f6df758524f3cc081eb8add
- Realised P&L
- $-12.7k
- Volume
- $230.2k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $5.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)79.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.900 | 0.945 | $3.4k | +$162.00 |
| Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.896 | 0.410 | $1.1k | −$1.4k |
| Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.834 | 0.450 | $767.69 | −$655.33 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET · Up | 0.107 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$159.99 |
| Lakers vs. Celtics · Lakers | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$792.00 |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5) · Anyone's Legend | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.9k |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) · Top Esports | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.9k |
| Nuggets vs. Wizards · Nuggets | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) · CTBC Flying Oyster | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$943.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.480Cavaliers vs. Knicks
- +$2.3kat 0.330Magic vs. 76ers
- +$2.0kat 0.530LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)
- +$1.4kat 0.781LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)
- +$1.3kat 0.810LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 17:09 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.75 | $750.00 |
| 10-23 18:28 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.7599999931 | $70.00 |
| 10-23 18:28 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | SELL | 0.24 | $21.60 |
| 10-23 18:01 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.24 | $21.60 |
| 10-10 17:17 | Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.84 | $593.03 |
| 03-24 12:49 | EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.86 | $2.5k |
| 03-24 12:48 | EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9927285068 | $1.1k |
| 03-24 12:48 | EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9952316183 | $842.18 |
| 03-24 12:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 03-24 12:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.9706431929 | $499.80 |
| 03-24 12:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3250956 | $158.64 |
| 03-24 12:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | BUY | 0.35 | $34.09 |
| 03-02 08:15 | EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.924 | $18.48 |
| 12-12 13:35 | Bulls vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.58 | $7.54 |
| 12-12 09:58 | Bulls vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.57 | $6.84 |