PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Ex4lted

0x93375e0bf1a3d41f931af02658105c88a480a410

Realised P&L
$-7.1k
Volume
$6.36M
Markets traded
243
Open portfolio
$322.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded243
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0400.045$321.74+$35.75
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.2000.185$0.19$0.02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1700.165$0.17$0.01
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2160.000$0.00$117.57
Will a player representing Belgium be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$23.26
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$4.5k
Spread: United States (-3.5) · United States0.1100.000$0.00$55.00
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$57.94
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$8.25
Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 183.5 · Under0.4100.000$0.00$476.07
Will Ivory Coast score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$24.43
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$2.55
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$77.98
Will Colombia score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$29.99
Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$0.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-15 03:41Portland Fire vs. Seattle StormSELL0.03$94.02
08-15 03:39Portland Fire vs. Seattle StormBUY0.06$13.32
08-15 03:39Portland Fire vs. Seattle StormBUY0.06$26.64
08-15 03:34Portland Fire vs. Seattle StormSELL0.04$18.40
08-15 03:05Portland Fire vs. Seattle StormBUY0.2$13.60
08-15 03:05Portland Fire vs. Seattle StormBUY0.2$360.00
08-15 03:03Portland Fire vs. Seattle StormBUY0.2$400.00
08-15 02:52Portland Fire vs. Seattle StormBUY0.26$15.60
08-15 02:51Portland Fire vs. Seattle StormBUY0.38$38.00
08-15 02:50Portland Fire vs. Seattle StormBUY0.42$84.00
08-15 02:49Portland Fire vs. Seattle StormBUY0.44$96.57
08-15 02:48Portland Fire vs. Seattle StormBUY0.44$6.60
08-15 02:47Portland Fire vs. Seattle StormBUY0.44$33.88
08-12 20:26Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?BUY0.21$33.60
08-12 20:25Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?BUY0.21$52.50