lukathebazooka
0x930c97519a5f420e093900771f75389c6fc7a53b
- Realised P&L
- $-7.53
- Volume
- $168.67
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $2.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration89.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.435 | $1.93 | +$0.20 |
| Will Corinthians win Copa Libertadores? · Yes | 0.222 | 0.041 | $0.22 | −$0.99 |
| Will Sentimental Value win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Marty Supreme win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-22 02:37 | Will Corinthians win Copa Libertadores? | BUY | 0.1789998588 | $0.95 |
| 04-22 02:37 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3899999008 | $1.73 |
| 03-15 21:45 | Will Marty Supreme win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0439999593 | $1.00 |
| 03-15 21:44 | Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.065999939 | $1.00 |
| 03-15 21:44 | Will Sentimental Value win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0179999825 | $1.00 |
| 03-15 21:43 | Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 03-15 21:43 | Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0629999444 | $1.00 |
| 03-15 21:42 | Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.00 |
| 03-15 21:42 | Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |