PolyBot

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Traders

0x92EaE9d2f5ad6c0af186980f8F8399CFb45dFf82-1722000940006

0x92eae9d2f5ad6c0af186980f8f8399cfb45dff82

Realised P&L
$370.47
Volume
$21.0k
Markets traded
260
Open portfolio
$485.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded260
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026? · No0.6720.945$406.32+$117.35
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? · No0.8700.800$32.18$2.82
US defaults on debt by 2027? · No0.9690.967$21.82$0.06
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? · No0.7900.835$21.14+$1.14
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December? · Yes0.2570.195$3.90$1.25
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18? · No0.3750.000$0.00$3.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? · No0.6000.000$0.00$39.53
ELH: Motor České Budějovice vs. Mladá Boleslav · Motor České Budějovice0.6240.000$0.00$5.00
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 12:12ELH: Motor České Budějovice vs. Mladá BoleslavBUY0.6237623305$5.00
09-10 15:36Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
09-10 10:00Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?BUY0.869999998$35.00
09-09 08:48Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?SELL0.3$61.07
09-09 08:48Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?SELL0.06$10.14
09-08 20:54Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?BUY0.3499999964$19.68
09-08 20:49Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.18$9.00
09-08 20:49Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.35$10.50
09-08 19:06Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?BUY0.3393213554$50.00
09-08 19:06Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1183035272$20.00
09-08 12:17US defaults on debt by 2027?BUY0.9689999725$21.88
09-05 15:26Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.2$10.00
09-02 11:53Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?BUY0.7899999968$20.00
08-30 15:35Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase August 25-31?SELL0.9193984$28.73
08-30 12:51Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase August 25-31?BUY0.64$20.00