Morfi007
0x929db43a6d920f74ac63884552d58155d4fa7ee3
- Realised P&L
- $5.9k
- Volume
- $252.7k
- Markets traded
- 405
- Open portfolio
- $406.31
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded405
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran target Kuwait by September 15, 2026? · No | 0.783 | 0.898 | $100.67 | +$12.90 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · Yes | 0.169 | 0.065 | $83.79 | −$133.64 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.192 | 0.201 | $70.17 | +$2.93 |
| Will SC União Torreense win on 2026-09-17? · Yes | 0.210 | 1.000 | $69.97 | +$55.27 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes | 0.196 | 0.175 | $41.30 | −$4.90 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.022 | $22.50 | −$7.35 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.235 | 0.186 | $17.91 | −$4.72 |
| Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-09-17? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$8.79 |
| Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-09-17? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.050Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
- +$491.24at 0.543Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
- +$390.58at 0.397Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$329.90at 0.310Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$313.58at 0.128Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 19:37 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.0631576158 | $13.11 |
| 09-16 19:33 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.07 | $14.00 |
| 09-16 19:28 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.20 |
| 09-16 19:23 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-16? | SELL | 0.82 | $19.01 |
| 09-16 19:02 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.43 | $7.03 |
| 09-16 19:02 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.4257425732 | $19.75 |
| 09-16 18:58 | Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-09-16? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 09-16 16:32 | Will Iran target Kuwait by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.933 | $18.66 |
| 09-16 16:28 | Will Iran target Kuwait by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.945 | $22.68 |
| 09-16 16:28 | Will Iran target Kuwait by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.933 | $18.66 |
| 09-16 15:03 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.25 | $19.30 |
| 09-16 15:02 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.023 | $39.94 |
| 09-16 14:43 | Will Iran target Kuwait by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 09-16 04:55 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | SELL | 0.08 | $16.88 |
| 09-15 21:39 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.026 | $0.48 |