PolyBot

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Traders

fgh5fg45hj41fg

0x929338eb64ff14244e5e1cc6ae06bfd6a03e8f2e

Realised P&L
$540.18
Volume
$39.2k
Markets traded
188
Open portfolio
$295.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded188
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration88.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · No0.7600.625$62.50−$13.50
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · No0.5400.650$32.50+$5.50
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yes0.5400.550$27.50+$0.50
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · No0.3500.986$19.72+$12.72
Will American Doctor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.8100.974$19.47+$3.27
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? · No0.4300.940$18.80+$10.20
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? · No0.8800.905$18.10+$0.50
Will Man I Need (Olivia Dean) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · No0.7300.815$16.30+$1.70
Will the Texans win the season series against the Jaguars during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.6900.745$14.90+$1.10
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.5300.665$13.30+$2.70
Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards? · No0.5900.645$12.90+$1.10
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.3000.555$11.10+$5.10
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? · No0.6600.445$8.90−$4.30
Will the Texans win the season series against the Jaguars during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.2800.255$5.10−$0.50
Will Man I Need (Olivia Dean) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yes0.2400.185$3.70−$1.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-20 07:30Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?SELL0.07$1.40
08-20 07:30Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?SELL0.36$7.20
08-20 07:30Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará?SELL0.89$17.80
08-19 05:54Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.666$3.32
08-19 03:38Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.37$7.40
08-19 03:38Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?SELL0.63$12.60
08-19 03:38Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?SELL0.87$17.40
08-18 11:58US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?SELL0.43$8.60
08-18 03:47Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18?SELL0.5625$11.25
08-18 03:47Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?SELL0.77$15.40
08-17 06:49Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 18?SELL0.14$2.80
08-17 06:49Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?SELL0.14$2.80
08-17 06:48Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 17?SELL0.13$2.60
08-17 06:48Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 17?SELL0.43$8.60
08-17 06:48Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?SELL0.44$8.80