0x9287BD3d7f9cc43198c98974cBbdfA1C48fe41f2-1726091451385
0x9287bd3d7f9cc43198c98974cbbdfa1c48fe41f2
- Realised P&L
- $-251.97
- Volume
- $55.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,205
- Open portfolio
- $144.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,205
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.10at 0.703RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?
- +$70.16at 0.611Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
- +$47.62at 0.686Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$44.90at 0.701Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
- +$34.10at 0.633Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 11:39 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 10-25 11:38 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $6.50 |
| 10-25 11:37 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 10-25 11:37 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.65 | $6.50 |
| 10-25 11:36 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.57 | $5.70 |
| 10-25 11:36 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.61 | $6.10 |
| 10-25 11:36 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 10-25 11:35 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 10-25 11:34 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BUY | 0.71 | $7.10 |
| 10-25 11:33 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 10-25 11:33 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 10-25 11:32 | Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.156 | $1.56 |
| 10-25 11:29 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $7.20 |
| 10-25 11:29 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $7.20 |
| 10-25 11:28 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.00 |