PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x927aa39fc54cacaa1934656e1fcc2930a1e690d6

Realised P&L
$3.1k
Volume
$14.3k
Markets traded
4
Open portfolio
$74.86

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar22.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded4
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration92.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0610.176$74.86+$48.75
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$41.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 22:56Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?SELL0.82$1.2k
09-13 20:55Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?SELL0.83$4.2k
09-04 07:19Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.065$0.06
09-04 07:18Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.05779$1.73
09-03 06:32Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.08$2.08
09-02 22:16Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.08$0.46
09-02 22:15Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.0705880365$2.09
09-02 22:15Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.061$10.31
09-01 12:06Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.079$0.05
09-01 12:06Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.065534321$5.31
09-01 06:53Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.054$0.57
08-31 22:54Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.0535$0.54
08-31 10:41Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.0480824963$2.92
08-18 00:32Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?BUY0.39$2.4k
08-14 19:42Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.49$229.69