0x927aa39fc54cacaa1934656e1fcc2930a1e690d6
- Realised P&L
- $3.1k
- Volume
- $14.3k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $74.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar22.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.176 | $74.86 | +$48.75 |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$41.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.405Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
- +$233.21at 0.502Fed rate hike in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 22:56 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.82 | $1.2k |
| 09-13 20:55 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.83 | $4.2k |
| 09-04 07:19 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.065 | $0.06 |
| 09-04 07:18 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.05779 | $1.73 |
| 09-03 06:32 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.08 |
| 09-02 22:16 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.46 |
| 09-02 22:15 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0705880365 | $2.09 |
| 09-02 22:15 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.061 | $10.31 |
| 09-01 12:06 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.079 | $0.05 |
| 09-01 12:06 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.065534321 | $5.31 |
| 09-01 06:53 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.054 | $0.57 |
| 08-31 22:54 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0535 | $0.54 |
| 08-31 10:41 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0480824963 | $2.92 |
| 08-18 00:32 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.39 | $2.4k |
| 08-14 19:42 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $229.69 |