BilliH
0x9253005ca668c3746a06b75a2e9f2073f10ab38c
- Realised P&L
- $4.29
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $257.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.961 | 0.982 | $54.45 | +$1.14 |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? · No | 0.962 | 0.987 | $54.44 | +$1.35 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.979 | 0.981 | $53.52 | +$0.08 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.948 | 0.970 | $52.72 | +$1.17 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat? · Yes | 0.955 | 0.978 | $42.44 | +$0.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.95at 0.961Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
- +$0.90at 0.966Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?
- +$0.85at 0.969Will Lexi Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?
- +$0.70at 0.965Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
- +$0.60at 0.932Will Top Esports win the LPL 2026 season?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-28 10:21 | Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.932 | $46.60 |
| 04-07 12:23 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.965 | $19.30 |