KayaTibet
0x92478a4848072cb7abec6f7dfcc3a62fe3c202fb
- Realised P&L
- $-371.27
- Volume
- $26.3k
- Markets traded
- 397
- Open portfolio
- $84.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded397
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.23at 0.171Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$97.15at 0.174Spread: Belgium (-1.5)
- +$73.07at 0.298Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-07-30?
- +$67.96at 0.184Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?
- +$59.64at 0.205Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 09:45 | Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | BUY | 0.25 | $4.46 |
| 09-30 09:43 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 09:41 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.2 | $6.40 |
| 09-30 09:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | SELL | 0.33 | $8.68 |
| 09-30 09:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 18:32 | Türkiye vs. Italy: O/U 7.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.32 | $7.00 |
| 09-28 18:32 | Arda Güler: 1+ assists | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 18:31 | Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 1 Italy? | BUY | 0.1299999982 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 18:31 | Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) | BUY | 0.149999997 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 18:30 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.3299999924 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 18:30 | Spread: France (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 12:38 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2399999973 | $7.00 |
| 09-25 11:42 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.3489999929 | $7.00 |
| 09-25 11:41 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 11:40 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |