PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

KayaTibet

0x92478a4848072cb7abec6f7dfcc3a62fe3c202fb

Realised P&L
$-371.27
Volume
$26.3k
Markets traded
397
Open portfolio
$84.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded397
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Merab Dvalishvili be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2800.330$20.01+$3.01
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5900.715$18.18+$3.18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.1600.185$11.56+$1.56
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.2150.185$11.55−$1.85
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1400.125$8.93−$1.07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? · No0.2400.275$8.02+$1.02
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) · Portugal0.2500.255$4.55+$0.09
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yes0.2700.085$1.57−$3.43
Colombia leading at halftime? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$7.00
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) · Netherlands0.2400.000$0.00−$10.00
Spread: Spain (-1.5) · Spain0.2700.000$0.00−$15.00
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2450.000$0.00−$20.00
England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total Corners · Under0.2800.000$0.00−$8.00
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$4.00
Will the fight be won by submission? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 09:45Spread: Portugal (-1.5)BUY0.25$4.46
09-30 09:43Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.269999993$5.00
09-30 09:41Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.2$6.40
09-30 09:36Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETSELL0.33$8.68
09-30 09:35Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETBUY0.1899999962$5.00
09-28 18:32Türkiye vs. Italy: O/U 7.5 Total CornersBUY0.32$7.00
09-28 18:32Arda Güler: 1+ assistsBUY0.25$5.00
09-28 18:31Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 1 Italy?BUY0.1299999982$5.00
09-28 18:31Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)BUY0.149999997$5.00
09-28 18:30Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.3299999924$10.00
09-28 18:30Spread: France (-1.5)BUY0.2299999993$10.00
09-25 12:38US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?BUY0.2399999973$7.00
09-25 11:42Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?BUY0.3489999929$7.00
09-25 11:41Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1399999989$10.00
09-25 11:40Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.16$10.00