0x921e08fafa9300cd8eb7406ac4f94774fecf5d82
0x921e08fafa9300cd8eb7406ac4f94774fecf5d82
- Realised P&L
- $13.96
- Volume
- $309.85
- Markets traded
- 107
- Open portfolio
- $12.11
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded107
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.950 | $2.25 | +$0.76 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No | 0.600 | 0.964 | $1.61 | +$0.61 |
| Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.345 | $1.33 | +$0.33 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.260 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.635 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.660 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.665 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No | 0.450 | 0.385 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.505 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.420 | $0.69 | −$0.31 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.155 | $0.57 | −$0.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.24at 0.227Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$4.03at 0.270Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026?
- +$4.03at 0.270Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
- +$3.98at 0.278Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$3.79at 0.288Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 07:10 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 23:10 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 23:08 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:32 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 21:48 | Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 11:47 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 15:27 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 05:40 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 21:40 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 13:40 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 8? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 03:56 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 18:37 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $187.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 10:23 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 02:21 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $72 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 02:21 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |