PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x921e08fafa9300cd8eb7406ac4f94774fecf5d82

0x921e08fafa9300cd8eb7406ac4f94774fecf5d82

Realised P&L
$13.96
Volume
$309.85
Markets traded
107
Open portfolio
$12.11

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded107
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.6300.950$2.25+$0.76
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No0.6000.964$1.61+$0.61
Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B? · Yes0.2600.345$1.33+$0.33
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes0.2200.260$1.18+$0.18
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes0.6300.635$1.01+$0.01
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of October 12 2026? · No0.7100.660$0.93−$0.07
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · No0.7700.665$0.86−$0.14
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No0.4500.385$0.86−$0.14
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? · Yes0.6100.505$0.83−$0.17
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.6100.420$0.69−$0.31
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes0.2700.155$0.57−$0.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 07:10Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
10-11 23:10Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
10-11 23:08Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.219999978$1.00
10-11 14:32Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?BUY0.77$1.00
10-10 21:48Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-10 11:47Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
10-09 15:27Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
10-09 05:40Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
10-08 21:40Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-08 13:40S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 8?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
10-08 03:56WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 8?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-07 18:37Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $187.50 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.7$1.00
10-07 10:23Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?BUY0.7$1.00
10-07 02:21Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $72 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-07 02:21Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.7599999088$1.00