0x921a3eceaac10cc134581c486c8e3bf5a09da2d6
0x921a3eceaac10cc134581c486c8e3bf5a09da2d6
- Realised P&L
- $3.3k
- Volume
- $11.7k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar28.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Imabari win on 2026-10-03? · Yes | 0.090 | 1.000 | $1.2k | +$1.1k |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.605 | $501.55 | +$37.31 |
| West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West Indies · West Indies | 0.370 | 0.165 | $62.40 | −$77.52 |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes | 0.149 | 0.190 | $7.60 | +$1.64 |
| KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears · NC Dinos | 0.480 | 0.005 | $0.01 | −$0.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.198Will France win on 2026-10-02?
- +$730.44at 0.492China Open: Donna Vekic vs Lin Zhu
- +$714.74at 0.025Montana State vs. Idaho
- +$616.38at 0.087Montana State vs. Idaho
- +$333.20at 0.422Bari: Matthew William Donald vs Martin Krumich
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 09:13 | West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West Indies | BUY | 0.37 | $139.92 |
| 10-03 08:20 | Will FC Imabari win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.09 | $110.97 |
| 10-03 06:04 | Montana State vs. Idaho | BUY | 0.0906484505 | $109.08 |
| 10-03 06:04 | Montana State vs. Idaho | BUY | 0.0593504322 | $16.75 |
| 10-03 06:04 | Montana State vs. Idaho | BUY | 0.023 | $0.14 |
| 10-03 06:03 | Montana State vs. Idaho | BUY | 0.0529999996 | $1.54 |
| 10-03 05:53 | Montana State vs. Idaho | BUY | 0.0329999998 | $3.28 |
| 10-03 05:53 | Montana State vs. Idaho | BUY | 0.0288781243 | $12.09 |
| 10-03 05:53 | Montana State vs. Idaho | BUY | 0.0201772203 | $19.18 |
| 10-03 05:40 | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys | BUY | 0.89 | $11.10 |
| 10-03 05:29 | China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 10-03 04:50 | China Open: Donna Vekic vs Lin Zhu | BUY | 0.4799999999 | $690.83 |
| 10-03 04:41 | Ducks vs. Golden Knights | BUY | 0.0723690011 | $2.73 |
| 10-03 02:44 | Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech | BUY | 0.4523283968 | $95.16 |
| 10-03 02:44 | Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech: O/U 69.5 | BUY | 0.41 | $9.02 |