0x920bf2bd795278429e30eedfa2195854479cfccc
0x920bf2bd795278429e30eedfa2195854479cfccc
- Realised P&L
- $-1.87
- Volume
- $337.16
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $2.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? · Down | 0.620 | 0.645 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $162.50 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.625 | $0.78 | −$0.22 |
| Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.195 | $0.65 | −$0.35 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.045 | $0.17 | −$1.78 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.540 | 0.005 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.58at 0.240Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?
- +$6.26at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$5.92at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
- +$2.81at 0.270Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
- +$2.49at 0.452Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 09:38 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 01:18 | Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 17:17 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $162.50 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 21:12 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 01:00 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 16:49 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 05:46 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 18:14 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 10:04 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 01:13 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:13 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 09:10 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 00:33 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 21:24 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 11:53 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |