0x9205a67d1f228c5c31da3d1c4a35bb8f1c153444
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes | 0.947 | 0.961 | $1.7k | +$23.97 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.910 | 0.905 | $117.65 | −$0.65 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%? · Yes | 0.104 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.08 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%? · Yes | 0.773 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$68.90 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.56at 0.877Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
- +$26.37at 0.889Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- +$9.28at 0.360First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
- +$9.20at 0.854Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
- +$5.37at 0.942Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 02:00 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | BUY | 0.969 | $21.32 |
| 10-30 10:32 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | BUY | 0.97 | $16.39 |
| 10-30 03:05 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $18.20 |
| 10-29 02:03 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | BUY | 0.972 | $19.43 |
| 10-28 09:46 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | BUY | 0.971 | $19.42 |
| 10-28 09:45 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $100.10 |
| 10-25 08:59 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | BUY | 0.97 | $124.74 |
| 10-25 08:58 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | BUY | 0.969 | $30.23 |
| 10-25 08:28 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | BUY | 0.971 | $15.98 |
| 10-25 07:55 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | BUY | 0.973 | $41.24 |
| 10-25 07:55 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | BUY | 0.971 | $33.60 |
| 10-25 07:55 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 10-21 09:16 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | BUY | 0.974 | $17.53 |
| 10-20 14:23 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | BUY | 0.973 | $6.40 |
| 10-20 01:27 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.60 |