Glicha
0x91ff094fca8aa7f45e7276d65cdd9154f2dd8f40
- Realised P&L
- $2.8k
- Volume
- $270.8k
- Markets traded
- 300
- Open portfolio
- $4.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded300
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.740 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$441.83at 0.838Netanyahu out by June 30?
- +$414.43at 0.914Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
- +$370.00at 0.835Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
- +$368.02at 0.794Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 13:39 | Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin September 8-14? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 21:05 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $17.28 |
| 09-15 20:37 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15? | BUY | 0.996 | $32.87 |
| 09-15 19:12 | Israel election: will Likud lose seats? | BUY | 0.9 | $90.00 |
| 09-15 19:09 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.472 | $141.60 |
| 09-15 16:01 | Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-15 14:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15? | BUY | 0.997 | $10.97 |
| 09-15 14:15 | Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $15.47 |
| 09-15 14:15 | Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $104.40 |
| 09-15 11:07 | Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $72.00 |
| 09-15 08:02 | Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17? | BUY | 0.108 | $21.60 |
| 09-13 21:52 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-13 19:42 | Israel military action against Lebanon on September 13? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.18 |
| 09-13 14:11 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | SELL | 0.85 | $8.50 |
| 09-13 09:04 | Israel military action against Lebanon on September 13? | BUY | 0.92 | $41.40 |