Itzik.
0x91fa8d5facf79f56f4f6b9718e9174c4031741d4
- Realised P&L
- $-101.87
- Volume
- $5.7k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $37.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.048 | $25.70 | +$6.50 |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.005 | $9.12 | −$10.88 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No | 0.209 | 0.160 | $2.29 | −$0.71 |
| Iran strike on Qatar by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.217 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.40 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.325 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.78 |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by January 31? · Yes | 0.355 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.25 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.93at 0.223US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$18.73at 0.119US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
- +$5.88at 0.068Iran Strike on Israel by January 15?
- +$-0.83at 0.240Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
- +$-1.67at 0.120Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 23:09 | Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 06-14 17:01 | Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0114429447 | $18.00 |
| 06-14 16:59 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.0326226051 | $19.12 |
| 06-14 16:53 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2089999592 | $3.00 |
| 06-14 16:53 | Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $2.00 |
| 06-14 16:47 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0354855212 | $40.00 |
| 01-16 21:15 | US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $44.93 |
| 01-15 20:56 | US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 01-15 20:56 | US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.036 | $1.96 |
| 01-14 21:38 | US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $8.00 |
| 01-14 21:19 | Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $8.33 |
| 01-14 20:29 | Iran strike on Qatar by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2434652881 | $9.40 |
| 01-14 20:28 | Houthi strike on Israel by January 31? | BUY | 0.3727975119 | $5.00 |
| 01-14 20:28 | Houthi strike on Israel by January 31? | BUY | 0.3389845967 | $20.00 |
| 01-14 20:26 | US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $11.70 |