PolyBot

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Traders

0x91E60CeF9494BdfcD6A59B8efd562adB94884278-1772288101983

0x91e60cef9494bdfcd6a59b8efd562adb94884278

Realised P&L
$-3.65
Volume
$2.9k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$56.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.6600.685$20.76+$0.76
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4300.295$10.29$4.71
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3660.527$8.65+$2.65
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5900.465$7.88$2.12
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? · Yes0.3850.370$5.67$0.23
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3300.095$2.88$7.12
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19? · Yes0.4320.007$0.40$22.45
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15? · Yes0.1500.001$0.02$4.98
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$4.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5770.000$0.00$15.00
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$5.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$15.00
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31? · Yes0.2560.000$0.00$15.00
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 22? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$1.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 14:32Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19?BUY0.4370879228$7.85
09-06 14:31Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19?BUY0.4299999951$15.00
09-03 16:12Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?BUY0.149999976$5.00
08-30 13:48Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.036$0.87
08-11 07:06Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?BUY0.2558635394$15.00
08-11 07:06Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 22?BUY0.0087303666$1.00
07-16 13:51Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.2699999896$15.00
07-15 19:04Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3049999913$15.00
07-11 17:25Will England win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5024999862$15.50
07-11 17:24Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.2549999638$5.00
07-10 16:53Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5774999891$15.00
07-10 13:48Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.6049999924$20.00
07-09 14:12Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.2199999727$5.00
07-09 14:10Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.0048262548$3.75
07-09 14:07Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.6599999954$20.00