0x91E60CeF9494BdfcD6A59B8efd562adB94884278-1772288101983
0x91e60cef9494bdfcd6a59b8efd562adb94884278
- Realised P&L
- $-3.65
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $56.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.66at 0.316Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$22.23at 0.407Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$15.64at 0.390Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?
- +$15.26at 0.699Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$14.53at 0.582Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 14:32 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19? | BUY | 0.4370879228 | $7.85 |
| 09-06 14:31 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19? | BUY | 0.4299999951 | $15.00 |
| 09-03 16:12 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 08-30 13:48 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.036 | $0.87 |
| 08-11 07:06 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31? | BUY | 0.2558635394 | $15.00 |
| 08-11 07:06 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 22? | BUY | 0.0087303666 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 13:51 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2699999896 | $15.00 |
| 07-15 19:04 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3049999913 | $15.00 |
| 07-11 17:25 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5024999862 | $15.50 |
| 07-11 17:24 | Will Norway vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2549999638 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 16:53 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5774999891 | $15.00 |
| 07-10 13:48 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.6049999924 | $20.00 |
| 07-09 14:12 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 14:10 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0048262548 | $3.75 |
| 07-09 14:07 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.6599999954 | $20.00 |