PolyBot

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Traders

YesManLucky38

0x91e2009176d1ba16fc194e8b305d16fd24933c51

Realised P&L
$-1.27
Volume
$129.06
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$67.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8900.895$5.03+$0.03
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2100.185$4.40−$0.60
Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9460.956$4.04+$0.04
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? · No0.8600.928$3.24+$0.24
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? · Yes0.9000.959$2.13+$0.13
Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · Yes0.9400.986$2.10+$0.10
Will the Republican Party win the IL-12 House seat? · Yes0.9410.978$2.08+$0.08
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9400.970$2.06+$0.06
Will Kansas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No0.9300.958$2.06+$0.06
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-06 House seat? · Yes0.9360.962$2.06+$0.06
Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · Yes0.9200.945$2.05+$0.05
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat? · Yes0.9400.964$2.05+$0.05
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-02 House seat? · Yes0.9400.959$2.04+$0.04
Will Ohio use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · Yes0.9500.963$2.03+$0.03
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.6300.620$1.97−$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 08:23Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9669999996$5.00
07-06 14:54Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?BUY0.9399997526$1.90
07-06 14:53Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?BUY0.8599999828$3.00
07-06 14:53Will Kansas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?BUY0.9299997768$2.00
07-06 14:52Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?BUY0.9199999816$2.00
07-06 14:52Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?BUY0.94$2.00
07-06 14:52Will Ohio use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?BUY0.95$2.00
07-06 14:52Will Tim Greimel be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?BUY0.9199999816$2.00
07-06 14:51Will the Republican Party win the IL-12 House seat?BUY0.9409999769$2.00
07-06 14:51Will the Democratic Party win the IL-06 House seat?BUY0.936$2.00
07-06 14:51Will the Democratic Party win the IL-02 House seat?BUY0.94$2.00
07-06 14:51Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?BUY0.9399997556$2.00
07-06 14:50Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?BUY0.899999595$2.00
07-05 11:01Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9329999394$1.00
07-05 11:00Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.9399997556$2.00