YesManLucky38
0x91e2009176d1ba16fc194e8b305d16fd24933c51
- Realised P&L
- $-1.27
- Volume
- $129.06
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $67.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.48at 0.677Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$0.45at 0.971Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.18at 0.916Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.17at 0.923Will Tim Greimel be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?
- +$0.14at 0.936Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 08:23 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9669999996 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 14:54 | Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9399997526 | $1.90 |
| 07-06 14:53 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999828 | $3.00 |
| 07-06 14:53 | Will Kansas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9299997768 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 14:52 | Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9199999816 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 14:52 | Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 14:52 | Will Ohio use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 14:52 | Will Tim Greimel be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? | BUY | 0.9199999816 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 14:51 | Will the Republican Party win the IL-12 House seat? | BUY | 0.9409999769 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 14:51 | Will the Democratic Party win the IL-06 House seat? | BUY | 0.936 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 14:51 | Will the Democratic Party win the IL-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 14:51 | Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.9399997556 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 14:50 | Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? | BUY | 0.899999595 | $2.00 |
| 07-05 11:01 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9329999394 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 11:00 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.9399997556 | $2.00 |