PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x91c363acd95bb150d4fd28912737eaf6125b409f

0x91c363acd95bb150d4fd28912737eaf6125b409f

Realised P&L
$12.0k
Volume
$0.00
Markets traded
0
Open portfolio
$70.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
BlockerMarkets traded0
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration87.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9000.715$23.1k−$6.0k
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8610.905$7.8k+$381.55
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.3840.385$7.4k+$24.33
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No0.4020.435$5.4k+$409.81
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · No0.7300.715$2.9k−$61.87
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8200.805$2.8k−$52.78
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? · No0.8640.930$1.9k+$131.36
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yes0.1420.185$1.6k+$378.49
Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yes0.1740.195$1.3k+$141.78
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.4430.595$1.3k+$319.54
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.4360.519$973.34+$156.37
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? · No0.8040.800$929.69−$4.29
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? · No0.8820.958$834.80+$65.88
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October? · Yes0.7750.645$831.91−$168.09
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8630.915$827.64+$47.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.