0x91b3441d3a8dfb161c959e5187afeeb8fea70356
0x91b3441d3a8dfb161c959e5187afeeb8fea70356
- Realised P&L
- $8.21
- Volume
- $266.09
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $9.90
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.670 | 0.895 | $2.59 | +$0.65 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.962 | $2.57 | +$0.57 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.835 | $2.23 | +$0.23 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.515 | $1.43 | −$0.57 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.435 | $1.09 | −$0.91 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.44at 0.218Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$6.27at 0.247Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $316 Week of August 3 2026?
- +$5.62at 0.270Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
- +$5.33at 0.280Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
- +$5.07at 0.290Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 10:16 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 01:40 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999758 | $1.94 |
| 09-20 16:30 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 04:17 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 20:15 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 11:09 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7499999063 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 03:08 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 18:28 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 12:46 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 03:44 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999034 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 19:31 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 10:47 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 02:47 | Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 18:47 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 22:33 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |