filv851
0x919779a058110c77a17ee152b51feb58b259e44f
- Realised P&L
- $-7.71
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $1.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.012 | $1.20 | +$0.20 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 20 million views in week 1? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $0.09 | −$0.91 |
| Bears vs. Panthers · Panthers | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 2? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.57at 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
- +$-12.91at 0.419Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 21:01 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 20:41 | Bears vs. Panthers | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 20:29 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 20 million views in week 1? | BUY | 0.0054552398 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 20:28 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 2? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 04-14 23:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BUY | 0.29999997 | $4.50 |
| 04-14 23:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $4.99 |
| 04-14 22:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.99 |