0x9171ff1ddd004da601b42623b8d4229ac121db74
0x9171ff1ddd004da601b42623b8d4229ac121db74
- Realised P&L
- $-3.76
- Volume
- $229.99
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $0.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.565 | $0.71 | −$0.29 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.055 | $0.24 | −$1.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.04at 0.288Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in August?
- +$3.67at 0.308Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$3.19at 0.339Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$2.79at 0.369SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 10?
- +$2.67at 0.379SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 00:01 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 07:39 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 02:47 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.59 |
| 09-23 16:46 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999819 | $1.59 |
| 09-23 07:35 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5199998823 | $1.59 |
| 09-20 21:50 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999768 | $1.59 |
| 09-20 04:02 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999814 | $1.59 |
| 09-19 06:39 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.59 |
| 09-17 23:25 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.59 |
| 09-17 11:36 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.349999934 | $1.59 |
| 09-17 01:33 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.7899999851 | $1.59 |
| 09-17 01:31 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.59 |
| 09-16 05:29 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.59 |
| 09-15 20:53 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4399999225 | $1.59 |
| 09-15 20:50 | Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.3299999875 | $1.59 |