headshort
0x910a11240de3677d70bc3b4350bbc79e9122a9fa
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $22.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-19.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or below on October 12? · No | 0.998 | 0.999 | $5.21 | +$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 12? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $3.37 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 12? · No | 0.998 | 0.994 | $3.01 | −$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 12? · No | 0.998 | 0.999 | $2.82 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 12? · No | 0.997 | 0.998 | $2.27 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 12? · No | 0.998 | 0.988 | $2.22 | −$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 12? · No | 0.998 | 0.993 | $1.66 | −$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 12? · No | 0.995 | 0.996 | $1.57 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.3kat 0.740Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 10:25 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.9969999991 | $2.27 |
| 10-11 10:25 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or below on October 12? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.21 |
| 10-11 10:25 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.67 |
| 10-11 10:25 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.02 |
| 10-11 10:25 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.82 |
| 10-11 10:25 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.57 |
| 10-11 10:25 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.24 |
| 10-11 10:24 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.9989998144 | $3.37 |
| 10-11 10:02 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $2.4k |