rikii
0x90e5388525bb127741947719e3d8d1520399d948
- Realised P&L
- $348.79
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $93.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? · Yes | 0.874 | 0.895 | $40.98 | +$0.98 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.667 | 0.715 | $37.53 | +$2.53 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.690 | $10.52 | −$1.98 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.256 | 0.155 | $3.03 | −$1.97 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · Yes | 0.506 | 0.070 | $1.43 | −$8.97 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.135 | $0.36 | −$0.64 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.788 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$257.31at 0.616Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$82.64at 0.910Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$49.28at 0.803Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
- +$16.58at 0.894Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
- +$12.49at 0.752Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 02:42 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.9939999973 | $50.00 |
| 10-29 15:04 | Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $30.00 |
| 10-29 15:03 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 15:02 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 15:01 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.7 | $10.67 |
| 10-27 09:49 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.9029999283 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 09:48 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9389999974 | $20.00 |
| 10-18 10:12 | Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999891 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 10:11 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7879999871 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 10:10 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7879999954 | $20.00 |
| 10-18 10:04 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9709421803 | $200.00 |
| 10-18 10:01 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 10:00 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $2.00 |
| 10-18 09:42 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.78 | $23.77 |
| 10-18 09:38 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.78 | $45.68 |