tbireland99
0x90c54d3c30be4d592d337bb6a237e278b9120fee
- Realised P&L
- $-71.51
- Volume
- $18.7k
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $38.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.58at 0.660Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$2.35at 0.810Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
- +$2.28at 0.430DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?
- +$1.10at 0.070Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$0.56at 0.900Will Rory McIlroy make the cut at the 2026 Masters?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-07 15:08 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.0536663312 | $10.00 |
| 05-28 19:09 | Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 04-18 14:46 | Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 04-17 16:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $0.99 |
| 04-17 16:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $0.98 |
| 04-17 16:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.859999914 | $0.98 |
| 04-17 16:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.9699999951 | $1.99 |
| 04-17 16:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.97 |
| 04-17 15:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $0.98 |
| 04-17 15:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.84 | $0.98 |
| 04-17 15:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $0.98 |
| 04-17 14:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $0.99 |
| 04-17 14:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.74 | $1.93 |
| 04-17 14:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $0.98 |
| 04-17 14:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.7899999921 | $0.97 |