0x90bd6195553242873558443fa7f194ad802be59c
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $133.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration74.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI bubble burst in 2026? · No | 0.906 | 0.904 | $99.83 | −$0.17 |
| Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price? · Yes | 0.857 | 0.845 | $14.79 | −$0.21 |
| Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO? · No | 0.951 | 0.943 | $9.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.275 | $5.10 | +$0.65 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released before Anthropic IPO? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.790 | $4.11 | −$0.89 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 11:18 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released before Anthropic IPO? | BUY | 0.9603959997 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 11:16 | Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO? | BUY | 0.9509999958 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 11:11 | Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price? | BUY | 0.8571428571 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 00:45 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.906989612 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 00:44 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.9059999987 | $30.00 |
| 11-01 00:27 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.9038400199 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 00:03 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999957 | $4.45 |