0x90B04182D5B5A0E4751Baa1E175E7b16FA61Cf23-1773093884525
0x90b04182d5b5a0e4751baa1e175e7b16fa61cf23
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $301.5k
- Markets traded
- 900
- Open portfolio
- $75.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded900
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.77at 0.008Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
- +$5.89at 0.378Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 16?
- +$5.32at 0.735Idaho Vandals vs. Houston Cougars
- +$4.87at 0.030Will Partido Social Democrático (PSD) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?
- +$4.62at 0.009Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the Eastern Conference?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 18:55 | Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.89 |
| 04-13 18:55 | Will Partido Social Democrático (PSD) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election? | SELL | 0.1294408163 | $6.34 |
| 04-06 16:58 | Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the Eastern Conference? | SELL | 0.02475 | $7.08 |
| 04-06 16:57 | Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.7899835404 | $95.99 |
| 04-03 09:46 | Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.08303177 | $200.00 |
| 04-03 09:45 | Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8229228624 | $100.00 |
| 04-03 09:41 | Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.0076703004 | $100.00 |
| 04-03 09:41 | Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.0077406416 | $100.00 |
| 04-03 09:38 | Will Josh Weil be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.59 |
| 04-03 09:38 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.0803957357 | $9.95 |
| 04-03 09:37 | Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.0066555412 | $12.36 |
| 04-03 09:37 | Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.0028942153 | $15.43 |
| 04-03 09:35 | Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%? | SELL | 0.941 | $29.11 |
| 04-03 09:32 | Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting? | SELL | 0.972 | $20.52 |
| 04-03 09:32 | NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9602430965 | $40.69 |