PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x90B04182D5B5A0E4751Baa1E175E7b16FA61Cf23-1773093884525

0x90b04182d5b5a0e4751baa1e175e7b16fa61cf23

Realised P&L
$-1.9k
Volume
$301.5k
Markets traded
900
Open portfolio
$70.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded900
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? · No0.9570.953$10.73−$0.05
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? · No0.9591.000$5.00+$0.20
Will Noah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025? · No0.9551.000$5.00+$0.23
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? · No0.9500.977$4.88+$0.14
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by April 30, 2026? · No0.9501.000$4.21+$0.21
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison? · No0.8931.000$3.36+$0.36
Will Pacto Histórico win 24-26 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election? · Yes0.9201.000$3.26+$0.26
Will Pacto Histórico win 27-29 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election? · No0.9431.000$3.18+$0.18
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? · No0.9320.980$3.15+$0.15
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? · No0.9500.991$3.13+$0.13
Will Sherrod Brown be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Ohio? · Yes0.9701.000$3.09+$0.09
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison? · No0.9091.000$2.20+$0.20
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes0.9200.961$2.09+$0.09
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.013$1.73+$0.67
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0270.040$1.58+$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-13 18:55Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.006$0.89
04-13 18:55Will Partido Social Democrático (PSD) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?SELL0.1294408163$6.34
04-06 16:58Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the Eastern Conference?SELL0.02475$7.08
04-06 16:57Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?SELL0.7899835404$95.99
04-03 09:46Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.08303177$200.00
04-03 09:45Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?BUY0.8229228624$100.00
04-03 09:41Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.0076703004$100.00
04-03 09:41Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.0077406416$100.00
04-03 09:38Will Josh Weil be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?SELL0.009$0.59
04-03 09:38Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?SELL0.0803957357$9.95
04-03 09:37Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL0.0066555412$12.36
04-03 09:37Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL0.0028942153$15.43
04-03 09:35Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?SELL0.941$29.11
04-03 09:32Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?SELL0.972$20.52
04-03 09:32NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?SELL0.9602430965$40.69