.FiveDollarFootlong
0x90a0774c37e43c03116917adf3563aee1eb67e0a
- Realised P&L
- $21.9k
- Volume
- $479.4k
- Markets traded
- 808
- Open portfolio
- $5.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded808
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No | 0.282 | 0.967 | $3.0k | +$2.2k |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No | 0.270 | 0.971 | $998.49 | +$720.55 |
| White House press briefing room decommissioned by November 30? · No | 0.748 | 0.815 | $253.47 | +$20.71 |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.671 | 0.815 | $224.13 | +$39.48 |
| White House press briefing room decommissioned by March 31? · No | 0.493 | 0.590 | $207.54 | +$33.92 |
| Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? · No | 0.743 | 0.967 | $193.40 | +$44.70 |
| Discord IPO before 2027? · No | 0.360 | 0.936 | $93.65 | +$57.65 |
| White House press briefing room decommissioned by December 31? · No | 0.666 | 0.675 | $64.13 | +$0.88 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes | 0.099 | 0.028 | $5.50 | −$14.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.5kat 0.093Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?
- +$2.2kat 0.607Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
- +$1.5kat 0.729Will Trump visit China by May 31?
- +$1.3kat 0.677Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
- +$1.1kat 0.149Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 23:52 | White House press briefing room decommissioned by March 31? | BUY | 0.4935817034 | $173.62 |
| 10-26 23:48 | White House press briefing room decommissioned by December 31? | BUY | 0.6642857143 | $46.50 |
| 10-26 23:48 | White House press briefing room decommissioned by November 30? | BUY | 0.7484244373 | $232.76 |
| 10-07 21:06 | SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6714436364 | $184.65 |
| 09-29 07:00 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.3072230825 | $372.99 |
| 09-29 06:56 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $99.00 |
| 09-29 06:49 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $20.14 |
| 09-29 06:49 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.3700862678 | $277.56 |
| 09-28 17:56 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $410.00 |
| 09-25 07:31 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $406.12 |
| 09-22 22:07 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7122334 | $712.23 |
| 09-06 21:08 | Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.911 | $44.94 |
| 09-05 19:51 | Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.85 | $12.75 |
| 08-21 00:17 | Will Leavitt say "Hormuz" or "Strait" during the next White House Press Briefing? | BUY | 0.35 | $10.54 |
| 08-21 00:17 | Will Leavitt say "Border" during the next White House Press Briefing? | BUY | 0.43 | $186.91 |