0x909611884dEaa458739dE6cD3FeB821c96bE5984-1759262483250
0x909611884deaa458739de6cd3feb821c96be5984
- Realised P&L
- $12.3k
- Volume
- $250.9k
- Markets traded
- 777
- Open portfolio
- $149.52
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded777
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.3kat 0.439Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
- +$6.6kat 0.508Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$787.83at 0.817Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
- +$422.19at 0.149Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
- +$326.56at 0.216Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 17:38 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0391025875 | $50.00 |
| 10-26 17:38 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.1384351293 | $50.00 |
| 10-26 17:38 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.04479752 | $50.00 |
| 10-26 17:38 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.1938534461 | $50.00 |
| 10-26 00:14 | Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.0092401203 | $3.10 |
| 10-26 00:14 | Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.9702268807 | $171.01 |
| 10-25 23:58 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.99 | $887.67 |
| 10-25 23:58 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.9900274404 | $3.9k |
| 10-25 23:56 | Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.0115009381 | $1.29 |
| 10-25 23:56 | Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.0270119949 | $4.03 |
| 10-25 23:56 | Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.0252471768 | $26.22 |
| 10-25 23:52 | Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.1901234662 | $50.00 |
| 10-25 23:51 | Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.1595665463 | $50.00 |
| 10-25 23:49 | Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.1896453632 | $50.00 |
| 10-25 23:49 | Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.2190663236 | $50.00 |