RosaWater
0x9079603806c1a097516dfacfdc9ba1051ec9e5aa
- Realised P&L
- $519.70
- Volume
- $24.3k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $19.35
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$325.13at 0.419Thunder vs. Nuggets
- +$202.99at 0.858Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 7-14?
- +$2.68at 0.430Ethereum above $2,700 on February 14?
- +$1.29at 0.700Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
- +$1.17at 0.600Dogecoin above $0.17 on March 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 06:56 | Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.9349999668 | $1.69 |
| 10-09 06:09 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.9789999942 | $1.52 |
| 09-29 10:30 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8829995734 | $1.48 |
| 09-19 11:38 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8659999474 | $1.68 |
| 09-09 08:22 | Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + UDMR? | BUY | 0.8499999754 | $1.73 |
| 08-24 09:16 | Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election? | BUY | 0.8669996148 | $1.74 |
| 08-13 11:28 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.9399999807 | $1.95 |
| 08-13 11:27 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | SELL | 0.65 | $1.37 |
| 08-06 11:34 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.72 | $1.89 |
| 08-06 11:33 | Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.75 |
| 07-30 08:31 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.9499997989 | $1.89 |
| 07-23 11:50 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.8299995778 | $1.73 |
| 07-16 12:25 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 16? | BUY | 0.7199999669 | $1.74 |
| 07-09 09:53 | Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? | BUY | 0.8299999627 | $1.78 |
| 07-01 14:18 | Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8859997286 | $1.58 |