PolyBot

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Traders

Xendo1

0x9078e107f3bcdba65afed7e77d1775945f2126af

Realised P&L
$9.5k
Volume
$501.1k
Markets traded
202
Open portfolio
$12.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded202
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 · No0.5710.870$11.5k+$4.0k
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · No0.7500.935$435.85+$86.24
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · Yes0.1000.028$202.59$533.04
Iran coup attempt by December 31? · Yes0.1230.095$131.15$38.85
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1600.065$117.00$171.00
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.2500.055$66.00$234.00
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.2000.052$8.07$22.68
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0040.002$7.50$12.50
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.001$5.75$74.75
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.026$3.12$8.65
Will the next elected US president be a woman? · Yes0.1200.225$2.90+$1.35
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0040.001$2.50$17.50
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0040.001$2.50$17.50
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.001$1.50$22.50
Will Anthony Hernandez be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0030.002$1.09$1.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 23:11Iran coup attempt by December 31?BUY0.1231426214$170.00
07-30 19:11Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?SELL0.027$0.89
07-27 04:49Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31BUY0.6996234653$80.00
07-27 04:46Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.33$66.00
07-17 16:40Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?SELL0.995$636.80
07-10 21:10Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.58$4.00
07-10 21:09Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?BUY0.1099999685$3.00
07-10 10:16Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31BUY0.63$686.70
07-06 17:06Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31BUY0.55$49.49
06-27 12:22Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?BUY0.8594117647$146.10
06-27 12:19Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31BUY0.52$1.1k
06-27 12:12Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?BUY0.75$349.61
06-15 09:12Iran Nuke before 2027?SELL0.932$344.73
06-11 19:34US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.23$115.00
06-03 13:59Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.14$49.00