Xendo1
0x9078e107f3bcdba65afed7e77d1775945f2126af
- Realised P&L
- $9.5k
- Volume
- $501.1k
- Markets traded
- 202
- Open portfolio
- $12.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded202
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.2kat 0.071Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$2.9kat 0.380Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$1.5kat 0.328Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$702.97at 0.365Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
- +$700.29at 0.357Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 23:11 | Iran coup attempt by December 31? | BUY | 0.1231426214 | $170.00 |
| 07-30 19:11 | Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | SELL | 0.027 | $0.89 |
| 07-27 04:49 | Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | BUY | 0.6996234653 | $80.00 |
| 07-27 04:46 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.33 | $66.00 |
| 07-17 16:40 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $636.80 |
| 07-10 21:10 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.58 | $4.00 |
| 07-10 21:09 | Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland? | BUY | 0.1099999685 | $3.00 |
| 07-10 10:16 | Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | BUY | 0.63 | $686.70 |
| 07-06 17:06 | Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | BUY | 0.55 | $49.49 |
| 06-27 12:22 | Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31? | BUY | 0.8594117647 | $146.10 |
| 06-27 12:19 | Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | BUY | 0.52 | $1.1k |
| 06-27 12:12 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $349.61 |
| 06-15 09:12 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | SELL | 0.932 | $344.73 |
| 06-11 19:34 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $115.00 |
| 06-03 13:59 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.14 | $49.00 |