nonejy
0x9064feca26ee8fd619c48c4d23f50af495e24f3e
- Realised P&L
- $-309.44
- Volume
- $30.5k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $63.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.445 | $35.60 | +$9.20 |
| EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? · No | 0.850 | 0.945 | $28.35 | +$2.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.96at 0.696Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
- +$3.43at 0.700Will CA Mineiro win on 2025-10-15?
- +$-0.03at 0.998Will Alexander Isak win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
- +$-0.13at 0.999Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?
- +$-13.00at 0.230Spurs vs. Lakers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 07:14 | EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $0.94 |
| 03-26 02:27 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | SELL | 0.696 | $6.3k |
| 03-25 08:12 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | BUY | 0.723 | $6.5k |
| 01-09 03:09 | Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025? | SELL | 0.704 | $2.2k |
| 01-08 08:07 | Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025? | BUY | 0.696 | $2.2k |
| 01-07 08:38 | Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | BUY | 0.765 | $33.69 |
| 10-15 07:51 | Will CA Mineiro win on 2025-10-15? | BUY | 0.7 | $8.00 |
| 03-17 02:43 | Spurs vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $13.00 |
| 03-17 02:17 | Will Alexander Isak win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.997 | $29.10 |
| 03-17 02:16 | Will Alexander Isak win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.14 |
| 12-10 07:33 | Kings vs. Islanders | BUY | 0.46 | $38.62 |
| 12-10 06:58 | Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader? | SELL | 0.997147167 | $67.76 |
| 12-10 06:55 | Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader? | BUY | 0.999 | $67.89 |