PolyBot

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Traders

0x904d541770e94852730d6c1754bc8935cc539ab0

Realised P&L
$-4.95
Volume
$44.02
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$6.28

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-11.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration64.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No0.7300.795$1.09+$0.09
Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.4700.480$1.02+$0.02
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6300.640$1.02+$0.02
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6? · Up0.6000.585$0.97$0.03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.2800.205$0.73$0.27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No0.5900.340$0.58$0.42
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.3100.135$0.44$0.56
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.2300.085$0.37$0.63
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.7500.145$0.19$0.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 11:03S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6?BUY0.6$1.00
08-06 02:26Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.4699998778$1.00
08-05 18:08Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.63$1.00
08-05 10:05WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on August 5?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
08-05 00:59SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.3599998704$1.00
08-04 16:59US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
08-04 08:51Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.3299997822$1.00
08-04 00:50US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
08-03 16:38Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.32$1.00
08-03 16:33US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.3099998295$1.00
08-03 16:33Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
08-03 16:31US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.2799998432$1.00
08-03 08:30Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $204 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.25$1.00
08-02 21:14Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
08-02 11:51Will Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.4099998237$1.00