0x904d541770e94852730d6c1754bc8935cc539ab0
0x904d541770e94852730d6c1754bc8935cc539ab0
- Realised P&L
- $-12.46
- Volume
- $189.84
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $4.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.925 | $1.68 | +$0.68 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.870 | $1.40 | +$0.40 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.410 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.94at 0.340US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$1.75at 0.369SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?
- +$1.61at 0.389S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16?
- +$1.36at 0.430Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?
- +$1.25at 0.450Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 00:37 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 02:23 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 12:08 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 03:03 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:55 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:54 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 17:18 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $110 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:13 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 10:00 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 01:49 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 23:32 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 14:51 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 06:42 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:05 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |