PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

65389

0x9047e6829b426c5b8eeda77c00ce763b6ca07663

Realised P&L
$-6.1k
Volume
$242.8k
Markets traded
408
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded408
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election? · Yes0.5720.945$259.56+$102.32
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6160.790$256.61+$56.61
Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? · Yes0.6090.976$214.72+$80.72
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8800.945$189.00+$13.00
Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? · Yes0.8600.945$188.90+$16.90
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · No0.6000.870$174.00+$54.00
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? · Yes0.1730.205$123.00+$19.00
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.6200.740$119.35+$19.35
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%? · Yes0.4950.555$111.00+$12.00
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.5000.530$58.30+$3.30
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? · Yes0.6240.610$54.90$1.30
Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026? · Yes0.0740.049$53.35$28.13
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%? · Yes0.2500.325$52.93+$12.21
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6500.445$51.69$23.81
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? · No0.4980.487$48.75$1.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 13:53Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?SELL0.1677954545$11.07
09-02 17:57Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.48$24.00
09-02 17:55Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?BUY0.26$13.00
09-02 17:50Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.65$65.00
09-02 17:49Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.44$53.68
09-02 17:47Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?BUY0.4199999953$50.00
08-30 05:23Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?BUY0.25$23.38
08-30 05:20Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.6157207378$200.00
08-28 10:31UFC Fight Night: Liu Ce vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.6383880637$20.00
08-28 10:30UFC Fight Night: Jingnan Xiong vs. Julia Polastri (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)BUY0.699999993$20.00
08-28 10:29UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.6599999954$20.00
08-28 10:29UFC Fight Night: Sean Woodson vs. Jack Jenkins (Featherweight, Prelims)BUY0.5799999983$20.00
08-28 10:28UFC Fight Night: Namsrai Batbayar vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.7099999918$20.00
08-28 10:28UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Cameron Nelson (Welterweight, Prelims)BUY0.5899999894$20.00
08-28 10:27UFC Fight Night: Yan Xiaonan vs. Denise Gomes (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)BUY0.599999994$20.00