PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

J.D.L

0x902c4454d7e1f2c6db31d55f7c1b3820ba219d51

Realised P&L
$-2.3k
Volume
$51.6k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$562.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9100.960$336.13+$17.34
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? · Yes0.8400.875$226.04+$9.04
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5? · Yes0.2730.000$0.00$50.00
Knicks vs. Spurs · Spurs0.6400.000$0.00$50.00
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.7350.000$0.00$40.00
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 14, 2026? · No0.9320.000$0.00$1.5k
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31? · Yes0.1910.000$0.00$10.00
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$8.90
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No0.9200.000$0.00$400.00
Rockets vs. 76ers · Rockets0.3100.000$0.00$4.90
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.6720.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-26 14:37US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?BUY0.770423444$200.00
06-22 08:38Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.7346736144$40.00
06-21 14:31Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?BUY0.7899999997$100.00
06-19 21:54US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?SELL0.3941224511$187.68
06-18 15:30Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?SELL0.23$95.85
06-14 21:31Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.6722727809$50.00
06-14 21:31US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.15$76.94
06-09 16:19Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?BUY0.8590401783$358.00
06-09 16:16US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?BUY0.6299999995$300.00
06-09 16:04US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.7798440302$400.00
06-09 16:03US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.92$400.00
06-04 02:31Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.9099999999$300.00
06-04 02:27Knicks vs. SpursBUY0.64$50.00
05-29 17:43Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?BUY0.8688506443$400.00
05-09 17:48Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?BUY0.8399999998$217.00