gtuyfu
0x90238111bf478f15d379b3ac8415b72121240e66
- Realised P&L
- $56.25
- Volume
- $13.9k
- Markets traded
- 163
- Open portfolio
- $36.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded163
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.205 | $34.85 | −$41.65 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · No | 0.996 | 0.998 | $1.39 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.86at 0.550Will Coinbase announce another coin as next listing?
- +$35.78at 0.628Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$29.33at 0.630Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$6.85at 0.474Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?
- +$4.09at 0.550Will Japan win the 3rd most gold medals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 03:23 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.9959995213 | $1.39 |
| 08-15 09:00 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in August? | BUY | 0.992 | $1.60 |
| 07-07 09:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.50 |
| 06-07 06:59 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June? | BUY | 0.9319999441 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 14:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.70 |
| 04-14 03:47 | Will Solana reach $120 in April? | BUY | 0.9719995589 | $1.70 |
| 03-20 12:06 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March? | BUY | 0.9879995908 | $1.69 |
| 01-19 15:22 | Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $78.03 |
| 01-09 14:06 | Will Ethereum reach $3,800 January 5-11? | BUY | 0.999 | $55.60 |
| 01-09 14:05 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.00 |
| 01-04 07:40 | Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale? | BUY | 0.474330182 | $71.11 |
| 12-22 04:55 | Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025? | BUY | 0.979 | $20.59 |
| 12-13 12:13 | Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.57 |
| 12-09 12:26 | Ethereum all time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.9799999463 | $15.70 |
| 12-09 12:25 | BNB all time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.9739999985 | $15.70 |