0x90086b541d05b56afc17ca0b161cf43a071e87f3
0x90086b541d05b56afc17ca0b161cf43a071e87f3
- Realised P&L
- $-8.67
- Volume
- $324.62
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $2.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.570 | $1.39 | +$0.39 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.385 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.235 | $0.59 | −$0.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.05at 0.227Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$4.59at 0.339Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$4.19at 0.359SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 11?
- +$3.90at 0.370Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?
- +$3.84at 0.379Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during remarks in New York?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:29 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 23:59 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 12:29 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 03:04 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:36 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:20 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 17:21 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6699996918 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 07:29 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 08:13 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 08:11 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 00:01 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 14:57 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 14:57 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 06:42 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 22:00 | Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |