faucon
0x8fd018b2c36f7d5cf64fd97bf18838c26cb71f62
- Realised P&L
- $-476.84
- Volume
- $15.1k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $81.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.13at 0.528Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on September 12?
- +$44.57at 0.554Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112K and $114K on September 10?
- +$38.44at 0.306Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?
- +$25.44at 0.011Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 19?
- +$21.64at 0.573US military action against Iran before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 13:22 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.1458892815 | $1.24 |
| 10-19 13:22 | Paris curfew by October 31? | SELL | 0.104136 | $5.21 |
| 10-19 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 10-19 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.00 |
| 10-19 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 10-19 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.03 |
| 10-19 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.00 |
| 10-19 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 10-19 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.453 | $0.14 |
| 10-19 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.61 | $0.16 |
| 10-19 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 20? | SELL | 0.33 | $0.22 |
| 10-19 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.18 |
| 10-19 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.27 |
| 10-19 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.46 | $0.25 |
| 10-19 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.16 |