JasmineHudson4945
0x8fbd390dae60b19358c958e1d81e8862ed4e1598
- Realised P&L
- $2.8k
- Volume
- $315.2k
- Markets traded
- 336
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded336
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.830 | 0.960 | $1.8k | +$250.38 |
| Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? · Yes | 0.808 | 0.357 | $209.50 | −$263.99 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.840 | 0.950 | $7.60 | +$0.88 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · No | 0.875 | 1.000 | $4.00 | +$0.50 |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.110 | $3.74 | −$14.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$634.94at 0.260Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?
- +$545.10at 0.210Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5
- +$538.94at 0.104Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
- +$333.74at 0.260Will Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?
- +$302.86at 0.180Will Trump say "Knucklehead" or "Numskull" or "Numbskull" in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 05:24 | Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | SELL | 0.979 | $509.08 |
| 04-27 09:16 | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $19.53 |
| 04-24 03:54 | Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $1.6k |
| 04-21 04:26 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%? | SELL | 0.095 | $48.73 |
| 04-21 04:09 | SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? | SELL | 0.3 | $13.80 |
| 04-13 05:31 | Will CA River Plate win on 2026-03-08? | SELL | 0.07 | $11.34 |
| 04-13 05:25 | FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | SELL | 0.67 | $479.72 |
| 04-13 04:53 | Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19? | SELL | 0.32 | $14.40 |
| 04-13 02:05 | Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | BUY | 0.81 | $421.20 |
| 04-13 01:28 | FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | BUY | 0.7 | $501.20 |
| 04-13 00:39 | Will CA River Plate win on 2026-03-08? | BUY | 0.42 | $68.04 |
| 04-12 22:07 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $564.40 |
| 04-12 20:53 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.474 | $363.08 |
| 04-12 15:52 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $27.39 |
| 04-12 09:54 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%? | SELL | 0.63 | $199.71 |