0x8fAaAA405A98dD6f19DC4B4113ebF5808eeFC850-1787115768423
0x8faaaa405a98dd6f19dc4b4113ebf5808eefc850
- Realised P&L
- $2.87
- Volume
- $803.93
- Markets traded
- 133
- Open portfolio
- $19.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded133
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hiroshima Carp vs. Yomiuri Giants · Hiroshima Carp | 0.477 | 1.000 | $6.29 | +$3.29 |
| Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks · Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles | 0.438 | 0.455 | $5.20 | +$0.20 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.540 | 0.950 | $1.76 | +$0.76 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.450 | 0.735 | $1.63 | +$0.63 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.610 | 0.770 | $1.26 | +$0.26 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.885 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.135 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.540 | 0.405 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) · St. Louis Cardinals | 0.620 | 0.300 | $0.48 | −$0.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.27at 0.316Ljubljana: Mona Barthel vs Samira De Stefano
- +$11.05at 0.320Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Flavio Cobolli
- +$7.36at 0.361Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs
- +$3.76at 0.354LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
- +$3.74at 0.453Korea Open: Xinxin Yao vs Maya Joint
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 06:12 | Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 06:07 | Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 06:04 | Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 06:04 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 06:02 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 05:51 | Hiroshima Carp vs. Yomiuri Giants | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 05:39 | Hiroshima Carp vs. Yomiuri Giants | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 05:37 | Hiroshima Carp vs. Yomiuri Giants | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 02:32 | Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 174.5 | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 02:24 | Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 174.5 | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 02:24 | Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.8599997764 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 02:24 | Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 02:20 | Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 174.5 | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 11:21 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 09:59 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |