PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8F88a166bC465Eae2b1078bFf960FEb77aC8c0fb-1766354105911

0x8f88a166bc465eae2b1078bff960feb77ac8c0fb

Realised P&L
$-453.16
Volume
$41.6k
Markets traded
128
Open portfolio
$18.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded128
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0310.026$7.33$1.34
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? · Yes0.0900.035$3.89$6.11
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1000.072$3.63$1.38
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · Yes0.0460.020$2.17$2.83
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3800.100$0.79$2.21
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? · Yes0.0470.009$0.20$0.80
Will Trump say "Recession" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$5.68
Will Trump say "Gay" this week? (April 5) · Yes0.0580.000$0.00$1.00
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$2.00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$4.00
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$2.00
Will Trump say "Chair" this week? · No0.2470.000$0.00$5.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$11.00
North Korea missile test/launch by March 31? · Yes0.3210.000$0.00$47.00
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 20:36Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0307406558$8.67
09-13 19:42Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1$5.00
05-29 10:13US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?BUY0.18$27.00
05-29 10:13Iran closes its airspace by May 31?SELL0.9345131714$27.32
05-22 09:29Will Trump say "Recession" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?BUY0.1499999802$5.68
05-21 11:04Trump kiss by May 31?BUY0.001$4.44
05-21 11:02Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETBUY0.849999983$5.00
05-21 10:50Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETBUY0.5$5.00
05-21 10:43Will Trump say "Chair" this week?BUY0.2466473953$5.00
05-21 10:42Will Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?BUY0.1819999693$4.75
05-21 10:41Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?BUY0.265228509$5.00
05-21 10:30Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?BUY0.14$9.80
05-21 10:14Trump kiss by May 31?BUY0.001$2.70
05-17 18:33Will Trump say "Jesus" or "Christ" this week?BUY0.4411764589$10.00
05-17 07:50Iran closes its airspace by May 31?BUY0.6499999932$19.00