PolyBot

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Traders

WilliamLawrence4766

0x8f859f00ca2f081ba9211d18b0efdeee9cd4e5a3

Realised P&L
$1.7k
Volume
$276.7k
Markets traded
364
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded364
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07? · No0.8001.000$1.0k+$202.00
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2200.275$434.23+$86.84
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · Yes0.2400.200$57.00$11.40
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka · Afghanistan0.5300.500$50.00$3.00
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka · Afghanistan0.2010.055$44.38$117.82
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.075$30.07$30.07
Weed rescheduled by December 31? · Yes0.4090.162$6.48$9.88
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July? · No0.9201.000$3.00+$0.24
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · Yes0.2000.240$0.48+$0.08
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? · No0.4800.435$0.43$0.04
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · Yes0.3800.045$0.04$0.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-13 16:49Will Trump say "Nuke" this week? (April 19)SELL0.64$19.84
04-13 16:21Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?SELL0.22$205.48
04-13 14:46Will Trump say "Nuke" this week? (April 19)BUY0.77$23.87
04-13 14:16Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?BUY0.23$214.82
04-13 09:43T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Most Sixes Afghanistan WinnerSELL0.011$7.34
04-13 03:53Will Starmer say "Renewables" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?SELL0.52$503.36
04-12 22:48Will Starmer say "Renewables" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?BUY0.74$716.32
04-12 16:32Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?SELL0.64$96.00
04-12 15:53Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?SELL0.37$4.07
04-12 15:51Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?SELL0.37$256.41
04-12 15:40Will Modena FC 2018 win on 2026-03-17?SELL0.641$762.15
04-12 14:27Will Modena FC 2018 win on 2026-03-17?BUY0.672$799.01
04-12 14:23Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?BUY0.67$100.50
04-12 13:01Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?BUY0.36$253.44
04-11 23:38Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?SELL0.79$748.92