MaskedAnalyst
0x8f6e3a47ef49e81b399abf75a3976ceb3525a10b
- Realised P&L
- $-71.16
- Volume
- $6.9k
- Markets traded
- 174
- Open portfolio
- $124.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded174
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.05at 0.310Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
- +$16.13at 0.400Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?
- +$12.00at 0.200Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during Egypt summit?
- +$10.05at 0.665Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by August 10?
- +$8.57at 0.035Will Zohran Mamdani win all 5 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-03 21:44 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.251 | $7.53 |
| 06-03 21:44 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.164 | $3.28 |
| 04-19 19:18 | Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? | SELL | 0.23 | $0.41 |
| 02-20 01:45 | Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.31 | $3.10 |
| 02-18 23:31 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.47 |
| 02-18 23:31 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.54 |
| 01-22 01:04 | Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 01-18 22:00 | Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 01-18 20:20 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 01-18 19:50 | Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 01-18 19:34 | Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 01-18 18:51 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.82 |
| 01-18 01:57 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 01-18 01:55 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2483333333 | $22.35 |
| 01-18 01:51 | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |