CryingWhale
0x8f64e037a795eef6e8b829053d803fd865c3660f
- Realised P&L
- $335.97
- Volume
- $51.3k
- Markets traded
- 381
- Open portfolio
- $338.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded381
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$425.78at 0.276Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$230.05at 0.176Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 26?
- +$201.57at 0.509Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 26?
- +$108.22at 0.225Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 28?
- +$90.77at 0.290Ethereum Up or Down on August 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 13:41 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 20? | SELL | 0.31 | $0.01 |
| 09-18 13:41 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 18? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.18 |
| 09-18 13:40 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 18? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.10 |
| 09-18 11:06 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 18? | SELL | 0.41 | $0.02 |
| 09-18 11:02 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 18? | SELL | 0.29 | $0.36 |
| 09-18 10:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 18? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.08 |
| 09-18 10:10 | Solana Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $13.69 |
| 09-18 09:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.957 | $15.59 |
| 09-18 09:39 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 18? | SELL | 0.45 | $0.04 |
| 09-18 09:20 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 18? | SELL | 0.3 | $0.26 |
| 09-18 09:18 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 18? | SELL | 0.31 | $0.02 |
| 09-18 09:17 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 18? | BUY | 0.7 | $5.55 |
| 09-18 09:14 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 18? | SELL | 0.38 | $0.03 |
| 09-18 09:13 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 18? | SELL | 0.34 | $0.03 |
| 09-18 09:10 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 18? | SELL | 0.36 | $0.40 |