PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8f5A6C0ef81cb34fc3464B0563D8A69a02A7A704-1782552495775

0x8f5a6c0ef81cb34fc3464b0563d8a69a02a7a704

Realised P&L
$188.25
Volume
$6.1k
Markets traded
86
Open portfolio
$455.04

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded86
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.975$221.59+$21.59
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo · No0.9420.974$155.06+$5.06
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.967$44.44+$4.44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9400.969$20.61+$0.61
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6100.340$5.57−$4.43
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.1400.060$4.29−$5.71
Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7900.275$3.48−$6.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 10:35Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboBUY0.95$120.00
08-16 06:43Will Iran target a Arab country on August 14, 2026?SELL0.002$0.05
08-04 12:36Will Iran target a Arab country on August 10, 2026?BUY0.1799999755$5.00
08-04 12:36Will Iran target a Arab country on August 11, 2026?BUY0.1699999759$5.00
08-04 12:36Will Iran target a Arab country on August 14, 2026?BUY0.1862058692$5.00
08-04 12:35US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?BUY0.0359999933$5.00
08-01 08:39Will Iran target a Arab country on August 5, 2026?BUY0.389999986$10.00
08-01 08:39Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?BUY0.4699999915$10.00
08-01 08:39Will Iran target a Arab country on August 3, 2026?BUY0.5099999786$10.00
08-01 08:38Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026?BUY0.4299999931$10.00
07-31 08:25US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?BUY0.05$5.00
07-31 08:24Will Maia Sandu visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4499999797$10.00
07-31 08:24Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5$10.00
07-31 08:24Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6099999994$10.00
07-31 08:23Will Keith Kellogg visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.699999993$10.00