cashy
0x8f42ae0a01c0383c7ca8bd060b86a645ee74b88f
- Realised P&L
- $535.8k
- Volume
- $13.74M
- Markets traded
- 896
- Open portfolio
- $48.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded896
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.6kat 0.720Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$30.5kat 0.683US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$16.5kat 0.599Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$16.3kat 0.447US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$15.5kat 0.692US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 12:24 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.5k |
| 09-14 18:21 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $2.6k |
| 09-14 16:51 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $2.3k |
| 09-14 15:34 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $515.16 |
| 09-11 23:18 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.3143933001 | $320.40 |
| 09-11 23:18 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.3228263441 | $1.3k |
| 09-11 23:08 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.5476241901 | $760.65 |
| 09-11 23:08 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4494751767 | $389.93 |
| 09-11 23:07 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.4075068103 | $2.1k |
| 09-10 17:53 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.874111565 | $515.70 |
| 09-10 17:53 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $80.00 |
| 09-10 17:08 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.1632500716 | $1.1k |
| 09-10 16:06 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.3996830177 | $3.6k |
| 09-09 17:20 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.14 | $322.56 |
| 09-07 23:55 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $525.00 |