cashy
0x8f42ae0a01c0383c7ca8bd060b86a645ee74b88f
- Realised P&L
- $544.7k
- Volume
- $13.57M
- Markets traded
- 878
- Open portfolio
- $43.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded878
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.6kat 0.720Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$30.5kat 0.683US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$16.5kat 0.599Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$16.3kat 0.447US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$15.5kat 0.692US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 19:40 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9651157968 | $5.5k |
| 08-01 19:40 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $2.4k |
| 08-01 19:12 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August? | BUY | 0.0235773071 | $119.54 |
| 08-01 19:08 | Iran leadership change by August 31? | BUY | 0.0550045733 | $365.51 |
| 08-01 19:07 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $10.8k |
| 08-01 19:06 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.042 | $110.87 |
| 08-01 19:06 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.393729415 | $975.24 |
| 08-01 19:06 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.3210592638 | $492.50 |
| 07-24 22:02 | Israel military action against Yemen by July 21? | BUY | 0.9987501211 | $1.6k |
| 07-24 20:04 | Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $985.74 |
| 07-24 20:03 | Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.747514702 | $963.50 |
| 07-19 15:56 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.9675558644 | $1.7k |
| 07-19 15:56 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.8k |
| 07-18 21:08 | Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? | BUY | 0.1974785408 | $36.81 |
| 07-18 17:42 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.196504524 | $605.72 |