PolyBot

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Traders

theKing46

0x8f1b2fcd0f5b5b02a34bf2eec516863df3b52ee6

Realised P&L
$-791.87
Volume
$23.6k
Markets traded
152
Open portfolio
$178.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded152
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.6120.305$97.29$97.91
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2880.545$28.41+$13.41
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.6330.160$26.45$78.55
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3100.180$7.20$5.20
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · No0.6500.285$5.70$7.30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1700.170$5.00+$0.00
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.038$3.80$8.20
Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31? · Yes0.1600.090$2.70$2.10
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.045$1.61$3.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-28 11:14Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in August?SELL0.003$0.03
08-14 08:22Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $316 Week of August 10 2026?SELL0.02$0.20
08-14 08:21Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of August 10 2026?SELL0.011$0.11
07-27 16:01Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.71$7.10
07-19 21:45Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.003$0.03
07-19 21:45Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.001$0.01
07-19 14:44Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.408$5.23
07-15 13:01Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.197$10.10
07-14 20:43Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.29$8.05
07-14 20:35Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in July?SELL0.1813529412$2.77
07-14 20:35Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in July?SELL0.091$2.61
07-14 13:38Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?SELL0.41$3.42
07-10 07:42Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5099999796$5.00
07-10 07:38Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.1699999759$5.00
07-09 07:37Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6799999946$10.00