PolyBot

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Traders

williwilli

0x8f155824f9799608e42221b0e64b6775f602f295

Realised P&L
$579.44
Volume
$443.6k
Markets traded
2,209
Open portfolio
$464.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,209
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1500.165$110.01+$10.00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? · No0.3300.345$104.55+$4.55
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4580.482$94.79+$4.80
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No0.4600.495$86.09+$6.09
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3250.275$50.76−$9.24
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.1600.145$18.13−$1.88
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · No0.2800.000$0.00−$3.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET · Up0.4580.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 21:46US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?BUY0.3299999989$100.00
10-14 16:56Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.4599999986$80.00
10-14 16:56Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.16$20.00
10-12 14:28Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3099999978$40.00
10-12 14:28Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4484669874$60.00
10-07 19:45Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?SELL0.26$73.88
10-07 19:44Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2599999997$100.00
10-07 13:57Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4769376626$29.99
10-07 13:56Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3599999971$20.00
09-06 16:32Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.2799999494$3.10
09-04 17:33Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETBUY0.5099999796$5.00
09-04 17:33Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETBUY0.6799999728$5.00
09-04 17:33Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETBUY0.4399999648$5.00
09-04 17:32Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETBUY0.3299999591$5.00
08-30 22:57Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?SELL0.2010541864$23.82