PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

empty888

0x8eee6e707ca851e783897fc449d55816d95beeb6

Realised P&L
$-5.0k
Volume
$56.6k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$2.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes0.6910.707$511.58+$11.58
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6300.635$251.98+$1.98
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.7600.940$247.24+$47.24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.7800.958$245.51+$45.51
Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026? · No0.6650.815$244.99+$44.99
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9300.905$243.28−$6.72
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · No0.8150.900$220.79+$20.79
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.7780.778$200.13+$0.13
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? · Yes0.0480.095$197.31+$97.31
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.041$50.63−$49.38
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.075$46.88−$53.13
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.031$44.29−$55.71
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2390.090$37.70−$62.30
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2900.145$33.73−$33.73
Will Solana reach $150 in January? · Yes0.2340.000$0.00−$516.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 15:34Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?BUY0.0481479227$100.00
10-13 14:30Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.7049999982$250.00
09-28 20:54Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.6765998837$250.00
09-27 01:37Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.6299999997$250.00
09-27 01:36Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.93$250.00
09-03 21:41Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5799999999$488.69
09-02 00:04Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2899999975$67.47
09-02 00:04Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2387056425$100.00
09-02 00:03Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$100.00
09-02 00:03Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$100.00
09-02 00:03Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0699999994$100.00
09-02 00:01Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4099999997$800.00
08-29 02:30Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5399999999$965.59
08-22 23:02Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.6899999966$200.00
08-22 22:52Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.7599999994$200.00