empty888
0x8eee6e707ca851e783897fc449d55816d95beeb6
- Realised P&L
- $-5.0k
- Volume
- $56.6k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$295.50at 0.458Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?
- +$268.67at 0.427Ethereum flipped in 2026?
- +$144.83at 0.580US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$88.10at 0.650US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$56.41at 0.780Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 15:34 | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | BUY | 0.0481479227 | $100.00 |
| 10-13 14:30 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.7049999982 | $250.00 |
| 09-28 20:54 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.6765998837 | $250.00 |
| 09-27 01:37 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6299999997 | $250.00 |
| 09-27 01:36 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.93 | $250.00 |
| 09-03 21:41 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5799999999 | $488.69 |
| 09-02 00:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999975 | $67.47 |
| 09-02 00:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2387056425 | $100.00 |
| 09-02 00:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $100.00 |
| 09-02 00:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |
| 09-02 00:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $100.00 |
| 09-02 00:01 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4099999997 | $800.00 |
| 08-29 02:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5399999999 | $965.59 |
| 08-22 23:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6899999966 | $200.00 |
| 08-22 22:52 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999994 | $200.00 |